Preseason Rankings
Stony Brook
America East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#196
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.7#99
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#263
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#136
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 14.3% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 60.9% 73.7% 48.7%
.500 or above in Conference 80.5% 85.7% 75.7%
Conference Champion 13.0% 16.5% 9.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.0% 2.6%
First Four1.7% 1.4% 2.1%
First Round10.8% 13.5% 8.2%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 48.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 414 - 517 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 144   Yale L 76-77 49%    
  Nov 09, 2019 17   @ Seton Hall L 63-82 4%    
  Nov 15, 2019 291   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-65 57%    
  Nov 16, 2019 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-71 56%    
  Nov 17, 2019 153   North Dakota St. L 69-72 41%    
  Nov 23, 2019 331   @ Wagner W 67-61 70%    
  Nov 27, 2019 240   @ Delaware L 67-68 48%    
  Dec 02, 2019 259   Manhattan W 65-59 71%    
  Dec 07, 2019 171   Brown W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 10, 2019 148   @ Hofstra L 71-77 30%    
  Dec 14, 2019 36   @ Providence L 62-79 7%    
  Dec 18, 2019 10   @ Virginia L 50-72 3%    
  Dec 21, 2019 184   @ American L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 29, 2019 318   Norfolk St. W 76-65 82%    
  Jan 05, 2020 333   @ Maine W 69-63 70%    
  Jan 08, 2020 84   @ Vermont L 62-73 17%    
  Jan 11, 2020 334   New Hampshire W 71-59 85%    
  Jan 15, 2020 321   @ Hartford W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 18, 2020 178   Albany W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 22, 2020 339   Binghamton W 75-62 87%    
  Jan 29, 2020 263   @ Umass Lowell W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 01, 2020 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 68-64 61%    
  Feb 05, 2020 263   Umass Lowell W 80-73 71%    
  Feb 08, 2020 334   @ New Hampshire W 68-62 71%    
  Feb 12, 2020 339   @ Binghamton W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 20, 2020 84   Vermont L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 22, 2020 333   Maine W 72-60 84%    
  Feb 26, 2020 321   Hartford W 76-65 81%    
  Feb 29, 2020 178   @ Albany L 68-72 37%    
  Mar 03, 2020 206   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-67 42%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.6 4.2 2.3 0.6 13.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.1 8.0 5.0 1.1 22.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 3.6 7.9 6.6 2.1 0.1 21.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.6 6.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.8 0.7 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.3 5.1 8.2 10.8 12.7 14.3 14.0 11.8 8.8 5.3 2.3 0.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-1 100.0% 2.3    2.0 0.3
14-2 78.5% 4.2    2.7 1.4 0.0
13-3 41.3% 3.6    1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0
12-4 14.9% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
11-5 3.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.0% 13.0 7.5 4.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.6% 57.0% 55.4% 1.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3.5%
15-1 2.3% 44.5% 44.4% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.1%
14-2 5.3% 34.4% 34.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 3.5
13-3 8.8% 23.6% 23.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 6.7
12-4 11.8% 19.1% 19.1% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.5 9.6
11-5 14.0% 11.6% 11.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 12.4
10-6 14.3% 6.6% 6.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 13.3
9-7 12.7% 6.3% 6.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 11.9
8-8 10.8% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.3
7-9 8.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.0
6-10 5.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.1
5-11 3.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-12 1.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-13 0.8% 0.8
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.6 3.3 3.5 88.4 0.0%